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2024-12-14 01:27:24

The strategy of Guojun Junan Household Appliances in 2025: The subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and the leading enterprises with leading layout will continue to be optimistic about going out to sea. Guotai Junan said that in 2024, the domestic sales category will be divided and the overall export will be stable. The household appliance industry presents four key words: looking at the sky/involution/multi-point flowering/continuous going out to sea. Looking forward to 2025: look forward to the domestic demand policy and continue to be optimistic about the sea leader. Subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and we will continue to be optimistic about leading enterprises with leading layout. Be optimistic about the leading enterprises and pay attention to three main lines: 1) Continue to be optimistic about the leading enterprises under the logic blessing of trade-in and going out to sea; 2) For industries with pure domestic demand, pay attention to the turning point of enterprises; 3) Pay moderate attention to the fermentation of potential themes, such as AI+ intelligence and the reform of state-owned enterprises, and the growth of mergers and acquisitions.CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".Australia's 3-year government bond yield rose by 10 basis points, and the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate cut is expected to cool down.


The strategy of Guojun Junan Household Appliances in 2025: The subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and the leading enterprises with leading layout will continue to be optimistic about going out to sea. Guotai Junan said that in 2024, the domestic sales category will be divided and the overall export will be stable. The household appliance industry presents four key words: looking at the sky/involution/multi-point flowering/continuous going out to sea. Looking forward to 2025: look forward to the domestic demand policy and continue to be optimistic about the sea leader. Subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and we will continue to be optimistic about leading enterprises with leading layout. Be optimistic about the leading enterprises and pay attention to three main lines: 1) Continue to be optimistic about the leading enterprises under the logic blessing of trade-in and going out to sea; 2) For industries with pure domestic demand, pay attention to the turning point of enterprises; 3) Pay moderate attention to the fermentation of potential themes, such as AI+ intelligence and the reform of state-owned enterprises, and the growth of mergers and acquisitions.18 shares were rated by brokers, and Yuhetian's target increased by 54.72%. On December 11th, a total of 18 shares were rated by brokers, and 6 of them announced their target prices. According to the highest target price, Yuhetian, Steady Medical Care and Fulongma ranked in the top, with increases of 54.72%, 19.96% and 17.62% respectively. Judging from the direction of rating adjustment, the ratings of 12 stocks remain unchanged and 6 stocks are rated for the first time. In addition, one stock attracted the attention of many brokers, and Hagrid Communications was ranked in the top number, with two brokers rating it respectively. Judging from the Wind industry to which the rated stocks are bought, the number of rated stocks for technical hardware and equipment, capital goods and materials II is the largest, with 4, 3 and 2 respectively.Shengmei Shanghai issued a statement on the new US export control regulations. Shengmei Shanghai issued a statement on the new US export control regulations, saying that on December 2, the BIS of the US Department of Commerce issued new control measures for semiconductors exported and transferred to People's Republic of China (PRC) (China), covering advanced integrated circuit (IC) products, specific integrated circuit manufacturing equipment and technology, and supercomputers related to artificial intelligence (AI) and advanced computing. According to the new regulations, Shengmei Shanghai and its domestic and Korean subsidiaries are included in the BIS entity list. ACM Research, Inc and its direct subsidiaries outside Chinese mainland are not included in the list. The company is comprehensively evaluating the potential impact of the new regulations on the company's business and operation plans. Based on the current information, the company believes that as the company has established diversified supply chains and alternative resources, the impact on the delivery and service capacity of equipment produced by Shengmei Shanghai and sold to domestic customers will be controllable and manageable. The new regulations will not affect the company's product sales, delivery and service capabilities to overseas customers. Consistent with previous years, the company plans to voluntarily disclose the announcement of 2024 annual operating results and 2025 annual operating results forecast in January 2025.


Japan's semiconductor sector rose collectively, with ADVANTEST up nearly 5%, DISCO up over 2% and Renesas Electronics up over 1%.The two-wheel drive robot industry in the policy market is welcoming the expansion period. The reporter was informed that many places have successively issued relevant policies for the development of the robot industry, planned development goals, and refined measures around improving basic innovation capabilities, accelerating the demonstration application of "robot+"innovation, and promoting the accelerated agglomeration of business entities to accelerate the innovation and development of the robot industry. Recently, Hangzhou released the Development Plan of Humanoid Robot Industry in Hangzhou (2024-2029). Chongqing, Nanjing, Sichuan Tianfu New District and other places have also issued relevant policies to promote the development of the robot industry, and based on the current situation and advantages of industrial development in various regions, promote the further development of the robot industry. Gao Chao, deputy general manager of CCID Consulting Advanced Manufacturing Research Center, said that the scale of China's robot industry is expected to grow to about 400 billion yuan during the Tenth Five-Year Plan period. While accelerating the overall development level of the robot industry, building an industrial innovation system and strengthening product application and promotion have also become the focus of multi-party efforts. Policy and market two-wheel drive have further opened up the development space for robot-related enterprises. (Economic Information Daily)Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.

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